RETROSPECTIVE RECORD · PREPARED 16 SEPTEMBER 2026The trace · 200 retrospective records ↗

The trace / Rounds & valuations

Rounds & valuations / From the trace · 31 March 2025 event · prepared 16 September 2026

A handful of AI rounds can move a quarter's whole total

OpenAI's and Anthropic's own announcements show rounds large enough to change how a provider's quarterly total reads.

Visual for this record: A handful of AI rounds can move a quarter's whole total
Visual published by iknowit.com, shown for identification of the record. Credit: iknowit.com · source page ↗ Rights: owner-review-pending.

The record

OpenAI's own announcement, published 31 March 2025, stated that the company had raised $40 billion in new funding at a $300 billion post-money valuation, in partnership with SoftBank Group. Less than a year later, Anthropic's own announcement of its Series G, published 12 February 2026, stated $30 billion raised at a $380 billion post-money valuation, led by GIC and Coatue. Roughly three months later, Anthropic's Series H announcement, dated 28 May 2026, stated $65 billion raised at a $965 billion post-money valuation, more than double the Series G mark set that February.

What the sources establish

Each announcement is the company's own account of its round: a dollar amount, a post-money valuation, and named lead investors, stated in the company's own words rather than a third party's estimate. What none of the three states in full is a set of terms: liquidation preference, board composition, and the split between primary capital and any previously committed capital are not fully spelled out. The Series H post does disclose that $15 billion of the $65 billion was "previously committed" investment from hyperscalers, including $5 billion from Amazon, a distinction the Series G post does not need to make. Separately, Carta's own platform data gives a sense of scale: its 2024 review of AI fundraising, published 2 July 2025, found that AI-labeled startups raised about a third of all capital recorded on Carta that year and close to half of all late-stage capital.

Scope and revision

Carta's AI concentration figures describe its own cap-table population, which by its nature does not include OpenAI's or Anthropic's financings; the two data points illustrate the same trend at very different scales rather than the same measurement. A single quarter's aggregate venture total, as tracked by any provider, can move sharply based on whether one or two rounds of this size closed within it, which is distinct from a broad rise or fall in the number of companies funded. None of the sources cited here states a deal count for the broader market in the same period, so this record does not establish what share of all dollars these rounds represented industry-wide.

The decision in front of you

Editorially: when a quarterly or annual total is reported as growing or shrinking, it is worth checking whether one or two outsized rounds are doing most of the moving before treating the change as a signal about the broader market.

  • Does the reported total include or exclude financings above roughly $1 billion?
  • Would the period-over-period change persist if the largest single round were removed?
  • Does the announcement separate new capital from previously committed capital?

A company's own funding announcement is a reliable primary source for what it states, size, valuation, investors, and an unreliable one for what it omits. Two companies' rounds, orders of magnitude larger than a typical seed-stage financing, can carry an entire quarter's growth story on their own.

Sources & reading trail

New funding to build towards AGI ↗

OpenAI's own announcement stating $40 billion in new funding at a $300 billion post-money valuation, in partnership with SoftBank Group.

Source published: 31 March 2025 · Retrieved: 16 September 2026

Anthropic raises $30B Series G at $380B valuation ↗

Anthropic's own announcement stating $30 billion in Series G funding at a $380 billion post-money valuation, led by GIC and Coatue.

Source published: 12 February 2026 · Retrieved: 16 September 2026

Anthropic raises $65B Series H at $965B valuation ↗

Anthropic's own announcement stating $65 billion raised at a $965 billion post-money valuation, including $15 billion of previously committed hyperscaler investment.

Source published: 28 May 2026 · Retrieved: 16 September 2026

5 charts showing how AI is dominating the venture fundraising market ↗

States that AI startups raised about a third of all 2024 capital and nearly half of late-stage capital on Carta's platform.

Source published: 2 July 2025 · Retrieved: 16 September 2026

Filings, provider reports and official documents establish the record; the scope reading and the decision framing are Venture Trace editorial analysis. This retrospective draft does not imply the site published on the event date.